Sebastian Kripfganz

Senior Lecturer (advanced assistant professor) in Econometrics,
University of Exeter Business School, Department of Economics

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Research
Stata Programs
Title and Abstract
ardl: Estimating autoregressive distributed lag and equilibrium correction models
We present a command, ardl, for the estimation of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models in a time-series context. The ardl command can be used to fit an ARDL model with the optimal number of autoregressive and distributed lags based on the Akaike or Bayesian (Schwarz) information criterion. The regression results can be displayed in the ARDL levels form or in the error-correction representation of the model. The latter separates long-run and short-run effects and is available in two different parameterizations of the long-run (cointegrating) relationship. The popular bounds-testing procedure for the existence of a long-run levels relationship is implemented as a postestimation feature. Comprehensive critical values and approximate p-values obtained from response-surface regressions facilitate statistical inference.
Suggested Citation
Kripfganz, S., and D. C. Schneider (2023). ardl: Estimating autoregressive distributed lag and equilibrium correction models. Stata Journal 23 (4), 983-1019.
Related Work
Kripfganz, S., and D. C. Schneider (2020). Response surface regressions for critical value bounds and approximate p-values in equilibrium correction models. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 82 (6), 1456-1481.
Authors
Sebastian Kripfganz
University of Exeter
Daniel C. Schneider
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
Journal Article
Stata Journal 23 (4), 983-1019
Article DOI
10.1177/1536867X231212434
Stata Program
ardl

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